Recall, if you will, that Cumbres Pass looks like it does today because of the extensive forest fires of 1879. That year, huge fires rampaged in many southwestern locations. In Colorado, they were widely blamed on the departing (more like deported) Utes, who were thought to have set fires out of spite. However the fires started, it's evident that the area was prime for a major burn. 1879 was a very dry year, probably like 2000.
Because of that fire, I consider a major conflagration in the upper areas of Cumbres Pass unlikely (I hope I don't have to eat crow on this). Unfortunately, the same can't be said for much of lower ponderosa/Douglas fir forest, particularly across the Rio de Los Pinos from the railroad. Lots of dry, dead, or dying timber on steep slopes. When the dry lightning storms start pretty soon, look out!
As I said earlier, pray for rain. And soon.